The debate in Canada on poverty lines goes back at least a decade and has produced much more heat than light. Most of the attacks on Statistics Canada's "low income cut-offs" or LICOs are ideologically motivated and ignore the four most basic facts about poverty and poverty lines:
! All poverty lines are relative.
! All poverty lines are arbitrary.
! Poverty lines are a research tool for measuring the incomes of groups of people, not a measure of individual need.
! Some poverty lines are better than others, but none of them is perfect.
All poverty lines are relative. Our view of poverty in Canada is profoundly different than it was a century ago, and it is profoundly different from current views of poverty in Greece, Peru, Nepal, Somalia and most other countries of the world.
A century ago, people in Canada would have considered someone poor if they did not have a horse or some other beast of burden for their work and basic transportation. Today, poverty is more likely to be measured in terms of reasonable access to buses or subways in cities or access to an automobile or truck in rural areas.
Poverty is also relative in the sense that every culture has its own ideas about what is needed to be part of the mainstream of society. Being able to afford meat products is considered necessary in many western cultures, but it would not be considered very important in a country where most people are vegetarians because of their religious beliefs. Warm winter clothing and central home heating are vital in a country like Canada, and anything but a necessity in Honduras or Tahiti.
All poverty lines are arbitrary. Some poverty lines are drawn statistically and some are drawn by measuring the cost of a "market basket" of essential goods and services. Both types of lines are equally arbitrary.
In lines which are drawn statistically, someone has to decide what raw data to use and what methodology to use to get from the data to the poverty lines. One measure that is used in some international studies of poverty is one-half of median income or the half-way point for family income in each country. The decisions to use one-half rather than one-third of median income and to use median income rather than average income are both arbitrary.
In lines which are drawn from market baskets of goods and services, someone has to decide what goes in the basket and what does not. That is not nearly as easy as it sounds. How many rolls of toilet paper would a family of four reasonably use every week? How much clothing, new or used, would that same family need to buy in a typical month? What is a reasonable budget for school supplies over the course of a year? The answers to these and a host of other questions determine the overall cost of the market basket.
Poverty lines are a research tool for measuring the incomes of groups of people, not a measure of individual need. The primary limitation of both statistical poverty lines and market baskets of goods and services is that they cannot cover all the exceptions to the rule. Poverty lines work best when they are used to measure the incomes of large groups of people. They work worst when people try to apply them to individuals.
Take the cost of housing, for example. Some people have mortgages and others do not. Some people live in government-subsidized housing. Some people live in well-insulated apartments where the rent includes heating, while others rent houses which are poorly insulated and have to pay sizable heating bills on their own. A couple with two young children might be able to manage with two bedrooms, but a couple with a teenage boy and a teenage girl would need three bedrooms.
The people who draw poverty lines have to make compromises to keep the number of lines down to a reasonable total. The idea is to have poverty lines that cover the most common types of families in different parts of the country. All poverty lines are based on the number of people in the family, and some of them also take account of the size of the community where they live. Most poverty lines do not vary with the type of housing or the age of the people in the household.
There will always be individual cases where family needs are not well covered by any given poverty line. That is the reason welfare programs use a "needs test" for each individual case. With a needs test, all the family's needs and all its sources of incomes are considered. Welfare entitlements can be increased to cover the added cost of prescription drugs for a child with asthma or additional transportation costs in a very remote area or the cost of child care to allow parents to work full-time in the paid labour force.
Some poverty lines are better than others, but none of them is perfect. No matter how hard the experts try, they cannot escape the first three facts about poverty lines. Poverty lines will always be relative, poverty lines will always be arbitrary, and they will always be suitable for research and unsuitable as a measure of individual well-being. The most we can hope for is a useful research tool that is easily understood and widely accepted.
Some poverty lines are better than others at measuring changes in poverty over time. That is a very desirable feature, because it allows researchers to see the impact of changes in economic conditions or changes in government policy. Statistics Canada's low income cut-offs are very good in reflecting the ups and downs of the economic cycle. However, poverty lines based on average or median income tend to change very little from year to year and are much less useful in measuring poverty over time.
Some poverty lines are better than others because they focus on disposable income or cash on hand. The low income cut-offs are based on income after government transfer payments such as welfare, unemployment insurance or the Canada Child Tax Benefit but before income taxes. Most market basket poverty lines are after-tax measures that reflect the cost of sales taxes as well as income taxes. That is because people actually purchase the items in the market basket, and they have to pay any federal, provincial or territorial sales taxes on taxable items when they make their purchases.
Some poverty lines are better than others because they are easily understood and therefore easily accepted. One of the problems that has dogged the low income cut-offs is the fact that the methodology used to derive the lines is not easily explained. Lines based on a market basket of goods and services are much more straight-forward and much more likely to be accepted as reasonable by the general public.
Why Have Poverty Lines At All?
Given all the limitations and shortcomings, why should Statistics Canada or anyone else go to all the trouble of developing poverty lines? The answer to that question goes to the heart of our existence as a political and economic democracy.
Canadians have a well-honed sense of fair play that dates from our beginning as a nation. In politics, we accept the principle of one person, one vote and the principle that governments derive their mandate to govern from the collective will of voters. In economics, we pride ourselves on the ideal of equal opportunity for all and in making it possible for everyone to share in the vast bounty that is Canada.
Simply put, poverty lines are one measure of how well our democracy is working. They delineate that minority within the population that stands apart from the mainstream of Canadian life because of meagre income.
The statistics that come from poverty lines are every bit as valuable as widely accepted statistics such as the unemployment rate and the Consumer Price Index, yet they always seem to instill fear in the hearts of governments. Governments are loathe to admit that poverty exists in a country like Canada, but everyone knows that poverty exists - with or without official government sanction.
Poverty lines also give us the ability to take concrete steps to reduce the risk of poverty and to measure how good a job we are doing. The watershed in social policy is between the people who are content simply to count the number of poor people and those who use poverty statistics to champion better programs and policies for disadvantaged Canadians.
The National Council of Welfare's biggest complaint with the very low poverty lines supported by the Fraser Institute of British Columbia, for example, has been that the institute's only apparent interest in poverty lines is to show that poverty is not a problem in Canada and does not warrant action by government.
Our Council has maintained from the beginning that poverty statistics are only a first step. Having identified groups of people who are poor or most likely to be poor, we follow through by putting forward policy options to ease the burden of poverty and by promoting our proposals through our reports and our representations to governments.
Our annual Poverty Profile reports track how well or how poorly Canada is doing in the fight against poverty and identify the groups of people who face the highest risks of poverty. Our other reports build on this data with detailed policy recommendations to governments.
Statistics Canada's Low Income Cut-offs
The National Council of Welfare has long used the low income cut-offs or LICOs of Statistics Canada as its measure of poverty. Statistics Canada has consistently maintained that it does not regard the LICOs as poverty lines, presumably because the federal government does not want to give official recognition to poverty. Most social policy groups in Canada have consistently disagreed with the position of the federal government and continue to use the LICOs as poverty lines.
Despite the long-running dispute over terminology, the low income cut-offs are by far the most widely used measure of poverty in Canada. The survey data and methodology used to generate the cut-offs are done by a federal government agency with an international reputation for high-quality work. Statistics produced using the LICO methodology are readily available to researchers inside and outside government year after year at modest cost. Coincidentally or not, the income levels of the LICOs are in the mid-range of the alternative poverty lines that have appeared from time to time.
The LICOs for 1996 are shown in Table 1 on the next page. There are a total of 35 individual lines that vary with the size of the family and the population of the area of residence. These particular lines are known as 1986 base LICOs because they were first drawn from spending patterns in Statistics Canada's Family Expenditure Survey for the year 1986. The LICOs are updated every year using the Consumer Price Index.
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Family Size |
Community Size |
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Cities of 500,000+ |
100,000-499,999 |
30,000-99,999 |
Less than 30,000 |
Rural Areas |
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|
1 |
$16,061 |
$14,107 |
$13,781 |
$12,563 |
$10,933 |
|
2 |
$21,769 |
$19,123 |
$18,680 |
$17,027 |
$14,823 |
|
3 |
$27,672 |
$24,307 |
$23,744 |
$21,644 |
$18,839 |
|
4 |
$31,862 |
$27,982 |
$27,338 |
$24,922 |
$21,690 |
|
5 |
$34,811 |
$30,574 |
$29,868 |
$27,228 |
$23,699 |
|
6 |
$37,787 |
$33,185 |
$32,420 |
$29,554 |
$25,724 |
|
7+ |
$40,640 |
$35,696 |
$34,872 |
$31,789 |
$27,668 |
The methodology used to calculate the LICOs is unintelligible to most people. Very roughly speaking, the cut-offs mark income levels where people have to spend disproportionate amounts of their incomes on food, shelter and clothing.
The methodology starts out with data from the Family Expenditure Survey about the spending habits of all Canadians, not just spending by low-income people. The survey estimates what people actually spent on different items during the previous year, not what they needed to spend. Poor people often have difficult choices to make because of their limited incomes. Actual spending on housing, for example, is largely a function of what kind of housing is available in a given area in a given price range rather than family needs.
The low-income cut-offs vary by area of residence, but not by specific metropolitan areas. All metropolitan areas with populations of half a million people or more have the same poverty lines. However, it is clear from other data in the Family Expenditure Survey that the cost of living sometimes varies greatly from one large city to another, often because of differences in housing costs. Housing prices in Vancouver, for example, have been well above housing prices in many other major cities in recent years. From time to time, the lower mainland of British Columbia goes through housing "booms" that push very high housing prices even higher or "busts" that see prices plummet almost overnight.
The low income cut-offs are based on income after government transfer payments such as the Canada Child Tax Benefit, Old Age Security pension, GST Credit, Employment Insurance benefits and provincial or territorial welfare payments but before federal, provincial or territorial income taxes are deducted. This sometimes makes it difficult to assess the impact of government programs which provide non-taxable benefits.
Statistics Canada regularly produces data on income after federal and provincial income taxes, and it also produces after-tax LICOs and after-tax poverty statistics. Unfortunately, the results are not directly comparable with the regular LICO statistics and wind up being more confusing than enlightening. For example, the poverty rate for all persons before income taxes and after government transfers was 17.9 percent in 1996 using the LICOs. The comparable poverty rate for all persons after income taxes and after government transfers was only 13.5 percent using the after-tax LICOs. That could lead people to the erroneous and absurd conclusion that reducing your disposable income by paying income taxes actually reduces poverty.
The Search for Alternatives
Statistics Canada published a discussion paper in 1989 on alternatives to the LICOs that included a technical review of many of the shortcomings of LICOs. The paper led to interest in a poverty line known as a "low income measure" or LIM. LIMs were equal to one-half of median income adjusted for family size, but there was only set of LIMs for all parts of Canada.
Many social policy groups were enthusiastic about LIMs at first. The methodology was simple and in line with some of the international research on poverty. Unfortunately, the big disadvantage with LIMs turned out to be that poverty statistics based on LIMs were relatively flat over time - that is, poverty rates during the worst part of the economic cycle were not very different from poverty rates during the best part of the cycle. Statistics Canada has published several years' worth of poverty data based on LIMs, but there has been little sustained interest in LIMs from social policy groups.
A number of social planning and research agencies have done market baskets for their own areas over the years. Some of the baskets could probably double as poverty lines, but others are more like guides to reasonable living standards. The lines developed by the Montreal Diet Dispensary reflect a bare-bones approach to daily needs, for example, while the basket of the Community Social Planning Council of Toronto includes items that go beyond what most people would consider necessities.
Each of the planning and research groups has chosen particular family types as the focus of its work. That often makes it difficult to compare the totals from one city to another. It also leaves a number of large cities and smaller population centres without any guidelines at all.
One researcher who has done extensive work on market basket measures of poverty is Christopher A. Sarlo of Nipissing University in North Bay, Ontario. Professor Sarlo has developed poverty lines for all provinces and all major cities with the support of the Fraser Institute, a right-wing think tank based in Vancouver.
Professor Sarlo's work has attracted the interest of other right-wing groups, some government officials and some media editorialists. The salient feature of his poverty lines is that they are far lower than the LICOs and almost all of the other lines used from time to time by social policy researchers and therefore produce poverty rates that are very low.
For example, the Sarlo food basket contains no coffee or tea. There are no health care items in the basket on the grounds that poor people should be able to get charity dental services from dentists in the community and they should be able to pick up free eyeglasses from the local Lions Club.
Finally, researchers at Human Resources Development Canada are taking the lead in efforts to develop "market basket measures" of poverty as a special project for the federal, provincial and territorial governments. The project is an attempt to develop a "consensus definition" of poverty as an alternative to existing measures, and it arose in part from the collective efforts of governments that went into the new Canada Child Tax Benefit.
A paper on the market basket measures or MBMs was published in March 1998 and distributed to a very limited number of people inside and outside government. A more public release in December 1998 prompted charges that governments were trying to get rid of poverty by lowering the lines rather than doing anything of substance. British Columbia's Minister of Human Resources bluntly told the federal government that the market basket approach to measuring poverty was not acceptable. "The Government of British Columbia's commitment is to reducing, resolving and eliminating child poverty, not redefining it," the Minister said in a letter to the federal Minister of Human Resources Development.
The March 1998 paper said the MBMs are not a final product, but many social policy groups believe that the eventual and inevitable result of the exercise will be some kind of market basket poverty line to replace the LICOs.
Some anti-poverty groups consider the push for market basket poverty lines a form of poor-bashing. They say that many of the statistical measures used by governments - including the unemployment rate and the Consumer Price Index - are difficult to understand and are fraught with methodological shortcomings. Yet the only statistical measures that governments really do not accept and really want to change are the low income cut-offs.
Last Update: 2001 02 14